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Thailand: Pattaya and Eastern Seaboard Property Newsletter. August 2011 PDF Print E-mail
Thailand
Written by Tim Gladwin   
Saturday, 27 August 2011 20:41

I think it is fair to say that during the course of the last month, there have been events unfolding in the West, of such significance that many people seem to believe that they have the potential to affect the local property market here. In particular, I am thinking of the downgrading of the United States credit rating, the continuing Eurozone debt crisis and the outrageous riots in London and many of the other big cities in the UK.

Focusing initially on the sovereign debt crisis that exists on both sides of the Atlantic, it clearly has had a significant effect on equity markets here in Asia, although whether it should have had quite the effect it has had is undoubtedly open to question. But what about the property market here in Pattaya? Of course certain sectors of the Pattaya real estate market have, for much of the last decade, been driven to a significant extent by foreign money. This has meant that since the start of the global economic crisis many of those sectors have slowed considerably.

Thus, I think there is no doubt that events such as those mentioned above have the potential to affect the local property market very significantly. However, they already have. The vast majority of prospective purchasers who would be affected by this news, were already affected when the global economic crisis first hit. Accordingly, those individuals left the Pattaya property market some time ago and have never really returned, at least not in any significant numbers. Therefore, the extent to which the continuing deterioration of the economic situation in the West has the potential to affect the local property market negatively is, I think, limited. I am certainly not saying that some individuals won't decide against buying property in Thailand because the problems are apparently getting worse. However, I do not believe there will enough of them to cause a significant change in the market.

The sector of the property market in Pattaya that has been doing best in recent months is off plan sales in new developments. A high proportion of the units sold have been purchased, in some developments, by Thais and, in others, by Russians. If this is to change, and this sector of the market to slow, it will have to be an indirect result of what is happening in the West and is thus far from certain to happen.

Insofar as the secondary market is concerned, what best categorizes those who are buying is that no two buyers appear to be looking for the same thing or are from the same background. I don't anticipate the limited demand coming from these individuals to change to any significant extent due to the sovereign debt crisis because I think that Thailand and Pattaya will continue to attract people from overseas and a proportion of them will love it enough such that they will buy real estate here.

In fact the continuing problems in the West, of which the shocking riots in England are another part, might actually convince some that now is the time to make a fresh start and make a move over to Asia that they may have been contemplating for some time. Certainly I can imagine that plenty must feel like leaving and where better to move than a place in the sun with a high, yet very affordable, quality of life.

Overall, then, I think the market here is unlikely to change to any great extent simply due to the on-going economic problems in Europe and the United States. I think they have already caused most of the damage they can to this market. However, it might be fair to conclude that the eventual recovery that we have all been hoping for may now be further away than one might previously have thought.

As for the economic outlook for Thailand, while it is easy simply to panic and assume that these Western problems are bad for everyone in the World economy, I am far from convinced that this will actually be the case. Whatever happens, we all still have to live our lives. We continue to need food, clothes, homes, etc. Thus demand for goods will not simply come to an end. The nature of that demand may however change in that people will want more for less, i.e lower prices.

In order to offer cheaper prices, manufacturers have to lower their costs and the most common way that has been achieved in recent years has been to move manufacturing operations to Asia where labour is cheap and plentiful while expensive regulatory measures are far more scarce than in the West. Thus, one could easily argue that if there is to be another significant economic downturn in the West, the much feared double dip recession, it could, in the end, prove to be good for Asia with more manufacturing operations moving here, and so continuing the shift in the World's economic balance of power which has been moving to Asia for some time now.

China is no longer as cheap as it was and thus places like Thailand are becoming ever more attractive for multi-national manufacturing companies, a fact that was borne out when I drove past the Amata City industrial estate a couple of weeks ago. The amount of new development over there is huge, with massive new factories continuing to be built. Pattaya is a focal point for the 38 industrial estates in this region and thus their growth contributes directly to the growth of the City, both generally and from a real estate perspective.

Therefore, while the news from the West is far from ideal, I don't think that it necessarily need be interpreted as being quite so negative for Thailand and Pattaya as some think it should be.

Again this month we have been instructed upon a number of very interesting new properties and price reductions, including a few that are worthy of particular note.  First of all, the Baan Nacha house that is listed below for 9.9m Baht was until quite recently on the market for 14.6m Baht and is thus the subject of a very signficant price reduction.  The most interesting part of this property is that due to the quality of the decoration and furniture in the house, the expense of putting it all together and its central location the higher price was entirely justifiable.  Therefore, at 9.9m Baht in such a good, secure and well located gated community it represents outstanding value for money.

Secondly, the 126 square metre, 2 bed, 3 bath condo also listed below really made me sit up and take notice.  It is located in a very popular, very nice development in Jomtien, with good security and a lovely communal pool.  While the place needs decorating and furnishing, it is nevertheless outstanding value for money at less than 24,000 Baht per square metre.

Another price that raised my eyebrows for a second or two was the rental price for the gorgeous Wongamat studio, below.  At 12,500 Baht per month, it is a superb deal for someone looking for such a place.  The location is extremely good, as are the communal amenities in the building.

Finally, the owner of the "Beautiful Huay Yai" house, below, has asked me to mention that she would be willing to consider taking other smaller houses or condos in part exchange for her beautiful property.  Thus, anyone perhaps looking to move out from the centre of town into something bigger, quieter and greener would be well advised to take a look at her strikingly attractive home.

By www.investments.by Investments in Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos and Belarus.

 

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